Budget 2027 must balance immediate energy-driven volatility with long-term, once-in-a-generation technological and structural shifts. The trajectory of the global economy over the coming months and into 2027 will be determined by the duration of the disruption in the Strait of Hormuz. This global environment will, in turn, dictate the growth path of Ireland’s economy over the short-term.
Strategic investment pillars
1
Rewiring our Approach to Talent
Our labour market is our best hedge against volatility, but we need to face up to the policy implications of a once-in-a-generation period of technological change which has the potential to transform our labour market:
- Implement a 'use it or lose it' rule for the National Training Fund (NTF). Reaching a surplus cap must trigger a temporary suspension of the levy to allow employers to invest directly in upskilling.
- Index income tax bands and credits above wage growth, including a €3,000 increase in the top entry point to protect earners from inflation.
- Introduce a tax-exempt Savings and Investment Account to unlock domestic capital for investment.
- Allocate €125 million from the National Training Fund (NTF) surplus to rapidly expand Skillnet Business Networks, Springboard+, Microcredentials/micro-qualifications and 'Skills to Advance'.
2
Driving Growth, Innovation, and AI Preparedness
To remain a global hub for capital and talent, Ireland must move from being an early follower to an early adopter:
- Introduce a €10,000 AI training voucher for SMEs and Mid-Caps to ensure widespread digital readiness.
- Expand the R&D tax credit (€ 130 million) for related party R&D and its management to maintain our competitive edge in knowledge-based growth.
- Invest €410 million in national resilience, including cyber and defence capabilities.
3
Navigating the Energy and Inflation Stock
We must protect the economy's engine from external shocks while accelerating the transition away from fossil fuels:
- Put in place a €2 billion ringfenced contingency reserve to respond flexibly to energy-related inflation and safeguard critical infrastructure delivery.
- Reduce policy-related fixed costs on electricity bills through a €301 million Exchequer subvention.
- Scale up enterprise decarbonisation grants and capital allowances by €72 million.